PS3 to be a "Low-Show" at E3?

Fabrizo · Apr 22, 2006

ProgrammingAce said:

Let's look at it like this:

In order to have a christmas launch, sony needs the ps3 out there by november. That's 7 months from now.

7 * 30 = 210

They have 210 days to make their production runs. If they started tomorrow, they would need to make 4761 units per day just to reach 1,000,000 units world wide. That would be less than the 360 launch.

1,000,000 / 210 = 4761

So let's say they need at least a million units per reigon in order to have a realistic world wide launch. That would require sony produce 14,000 units per day starting May 1st.

3,000,000 / 210 = 14,286

Let's say sony doesn't get the console finalized until june, gets the production facilities running until July. That gives them just 4 months to reach the 3,000,000 figure. They would need to produce 25,000 consoles per day, every day.

3,000,000 / 120 = 25,000

This all assumes that there are no manufacturing glitches. Remember when sony decided to retool the chip fab facility from .25 micron chips to .18 micron chips right before the ps2 launch? That cut the output of the production facility in half.

While we're throwing numbers around, lets assume Sony does make 3,000,000 units at a $200 dollar loss....

3,000,000 * 200 = 600,000,000

That's a six hundred million dollar loss.... good luck with that
Click to expand...

Looks like you're post is making the rounds:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=96311

Mark30001 · Apr 22, 2006

Got this from a guy who got it from some other guy... which is said to be a developer.
Pic from 360 devkit (supposedly coming from him):
http://i3.tinypic.com/w7c39y.jpg
Click to expand...

Where did they get that picture? The watermark clearly reads "old engineer" (Assuming he was quoting the poster as the owner of the picture).

madhatter256 · Apr 23, 2006

Fabrizo said:

Looks like you're post is making the rounds:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=96311
Click to expand...

HAH! he could've simply put down that he copied it from here

KaL_YoshiKa · Apr 23, 2006

I suspect he wouldn't look as cool if he showed people his source.

Topic Archive · Apr 23, 2006

Fabrizo said:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=96311
Click to expand...

How sad.

...A whole thread/forum dedicated to rubbish, whatever next?

zappenduster · Apr 24, 2006

ProgrammingAce said:

Let's look at it like this:

In order to have a christmas launch, sony needs the ps3 out there by november. That's 7 months from now.

7 * 30 = 210

They have 210 days to make their production runs. If they started tomorrow, they would need to make 4761 units per day just to reach 1,000,000 units world wide. That would be less than the 360 launch.

1,000,000 / 210 = 4761

So let's say they need at least a million units per reigon in order to have a realistic world wide launch. That would require sony produce 14,000 units per day starting May 1st.

3,000,000 / 210 = 14,286

Let's say sony doesn't get the console finalized until june, gets the production facilities running until July. That gives them just 4 months to reach the 3,000,000 figure. They would need to produce 25,000 consoles per day, every day.

3,000,000 / 120 = 25,000

This all assumes that there are no manufacturing glitches. Remember when sony decided to retool the chip fab facility from .25 micron chips to .18 micron chips right before the ps2 launch? That cut the output of the production facility in half.

While we're throwing numbers around, lets assume Sony does make 3,000,000 units at a $200 dollar loss....

3,000,000 * 200 = 600,000,000

That's a six hundred million dollar loss.... good luck with that
Click to expand...

nice numbers and now a quote from the xbox 360 uncloaked book:

August 14, 2002: J Allard notes response to being in production in China, Flex-Doumen Facility. Eventual capacity is 125000 units per week. Current 45,000, full capacity by October.
Click to expand...

this means a fully running xbox fab could come up with a max. nearly 20000 units per day set that against the first run of a console which made around 7000 units per week

i think theres no way sony can hold that date

Sally · Apr 24, 2006

That thread makes my brain bleed.... I'd rather they not find out about this forum.

The thing to remember about the chinese xbox plant is that they were just relocating the polish facility. It wasn't a startup plant. You would do better to compare the numbers of the polish xbox manufacturing plant against the ps3 numbers.

And i really don't remember ever claiming OE's pics as my own...

EDIT:
Cough...

http://forum.fok.nl/topic/845708/10/25

http://outerspace.terra.com.br/phpbb/viewtopic.php?t=54579&

I'm famous in 3 different languages!

Shadowlayer · Apr 24, 2006

ProgrammingAce said:

I'm famous in 3 different languages!
Click to expand...

Yet nobody said who did the original nor from which forum they took the idea from...

PS3 to be a "Low-Show" at E3?

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PS3 to be a "Low-Show" at E3?

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Shadowlayer KEEPIN' I.T. REAL!!

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